Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Coventry host Sunderland on Sat 31 Oct at 15:00. Coventry are 19th in the table and Sunderland are 20th.
The model gives Coventry a 34% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Sunderland 35%. It expects 1.1 goals from Coventry and 1.2 from Sunderland, with a 40% chance of three or more goals and 48% that both teams score.
Coventry won 2, drew 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches; Sunderland won 0, drew 1 and lost 4 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Coventry's last 8 matches and 4 of Sunderland's last 10; both teams scored in 2 and 5 respectively.
At home this season Coventry have 1 win from 4, scoring 1.0 a game; away from home Sunderland have 0 wins from 4, conceding 2.5 a game.
Notable run: Coventry, no draw in the last 8 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Under 3.5 goals, 80%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Coventry win | 34% | 2.98 | |
| Draw | 31% | 3.23 | |
| Sunderland win | 35% | 2.82 |
| Home or draw | 65% | 1.55 | |
| No draw | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Away or draw | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 51% | 1.95 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.13 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.98 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 8% | 11.93 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.25 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.92 |
| Coventry to score | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Sunderland to score | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Coventry clean sheet | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Sunderland clean sheet | 32% | 3.10 |
| Home leads at half-time | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Level at half-time | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Both score 1st half | 16% | 6.22 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 22% | 4.50 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 75% | 1.34 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 10% | 7% | |||
| 1 | 10% | 15% | 8% | 3% | ||
| 2 | 6% | 8% | 4% | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | +16 | 16 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 11 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 | LWDWW |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | DWDLL |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | DDLWW |
| 16 | Man United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 18 | Nott'm Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 | LLLLD |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Coventry | Sunderland |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%8/8 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 50%4/8 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50%4/8 | 40%4/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38%3/8 | 20%2/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25%2/8 | 10%1/10 |
| Both teams score | 25%2/8 | 50%5/10 |
| Win | 25%2/8 | 30%3/10 |
| Draw | 0%0/8 | 20%2/10 |
| Loss | 75%6/8 | 50%5/10 |
| Clean sheet | 13%1/8 | 20%2/10 |
| Failed to score | 63%5/8 | 40%4/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 63%5/8 | 50%5/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 13%1/8 | 20%2/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.75 | 1.10 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.88 | 1.60 |
| Corners for / against | 3.75 / 4.88 | 4.3 / 4.4 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Coventry | #19 | 1.08 | 1.51 |
| Sunderland | #17 | 1.12 | 1.29 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
These teams have not met in the league in the last three seasons.