Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Everton host Coventry on Sat 7 Nov at 15:00. Everton are 11th in the table and Coventry are 19th.
The model gives Everton a 50% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Coventry 21%. It expects 1.5 goals from Everton and 0.9 from Coventry, with a 42% chance of three or more goals and 46% that both teams score.
Everton won 1, drew 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches; Coventry won 2, drew 0 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Everton's last 10 matches and 4 of Coventry's last 8; both teams scored in 4 and 2 respectively.
At home this season Everton have 2 wins from 4, scoring 1.3 a game; away from home Coventry have 1 win from 4, conceding 1.8 a game.
Notable run: Coventry, no draw in the last 8 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Home or draw, 79%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Everton win | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Coventry win | 21% | 4.72 |
| Home or draw | 79% | 1.27 | |
| No draw | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Away or draw | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 30% | 3.36 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 89% | 1.12 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.72 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.07 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.86 |
| Everton to score | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Coventry to score | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 22% | 4.56 | |
| Everton clean sheet | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Coventry clean sheet | 23% | 4.38 |
| Home leads at half-time | 37% | 2.74 | |
| Level at half-time | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 19% | 5.30 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Both score 1st half | 16% | 6.40 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 22% | 4.64 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 67% | 1.48 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 71% | 1.41 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11% | 7% | 4% | |||
| 1 | 13% | 14% | 5% | |||
| 2 | 10% | 9% | 4% | |||
| 3 | 5% | 4% | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Man City | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 20:9 | +11 | 21 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Arsenal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13:5 | +8 | 21 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Brighton | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 23:7 | +16 | 16 | WWWWL |
| 4 | Liverpool | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | +3 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 5 | Chelsea | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:15 | +2 | 13 | DLWWL |
| 6 | Brentford | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:9 | +5 | 11 | DWDLD |
| 7 | Leeds | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 11 | WDLDD |
| 8 | Newcastle | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | -2 | 11 | LWLLW |
| 9 | Aston Villa | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 | LWDWW |
| 10 | Hull | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 10 | DLDLD |
| 11 | Everton | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 10 | DWDLL |
| 12 | Ipswich | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 | WLWLD |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 9 | DLLWW |
| 14 | Tottenham | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 9 | DLDWW |
| 15 | Fulham | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 8 | DDLWW |
| 16 | Man United | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10:13 | -3 | 7 | LDDDL |
| 17 | Crystal Palace | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 7 | LDWLL |
| 18 | Nott'm Forest | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 | WLLLD |
| 19 | Coventry | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 6:15 | -9 | 6 | LWWLL |
| 20 | Sunderland | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | -8 | 5 | LLLLD |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Everton | Coventry |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 100%8/8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 50%4/8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 50%4/8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 38%3/8 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0%0/10 | 25%2/8 |
| Both teams score | 40%4/10 | 25%2/8 |
| Win | 20%2/10 | 25%2/8 |
| Draw | 40%4/10 | 0%0/8 |
| Loss | 40%4/10 | 75%6/8 |
| Clean sheet | 30%3/10 | 13%1/8 |
| Failed to score | 40%4/10 | 63%5/8 |
| Goal in 1st half | 60%6/10 | 63%5/8 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 0%0/10 | 13%1/8 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.90 | 0.75 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.30 | 1.88 |
| Corners for / against | 4.4 / 5.6 | 3.75 / 4.88 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton | #14 | 1.20 | 1.18 |
| Coventry | #19 | 1.08 | 1.51 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
These teams have not met in the league in the last three seasons.