Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Sheffield United host Wrexham on Fri 30 Oct at 20:00. Sheffield United are 12th in the table and Wrexham are 17th.
The model gives Sheffield United a 47% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Wrexham 28%. It expects 1.7 goals from Sheffield United and 1.2 from Wrexham, with a 55% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Sheffield United won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches; Wrexham won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Sheffield United's last 10 matches and 6 of Wrexham's last 10; both teams scored in 7 and 6 respectively.
At home this season Sheffield United have 2 wins from 6, scoring 1.3 a game; away from home Wrexham have 1 win from 6, conceding 1.7 a game.
In their last 2 league meetings, Sheffield United won 0, Wrexham won 2 and 0 games ended level, averaging 5.5 goals. The most recent, on Sat 21 Mar, finished Sheffield United 1-2 Wrexham.
Notable run: Wrexham, over 1.5 goals in the last 7 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 79%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Sheffield United win | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 | |
| Wrexham win | 28% | 3.62 |
| Home or draw | 72% | 1.38 | |
| No draw | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Away or draw | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 37% | 2.71 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.80 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.02 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.94 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 21% | 4.77 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Not both teams score | 42% | 2.38 |
| Sheffield United to score | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Wrexham to score | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Sheffield United clean sheet | 29% | 3.42 | |
| Wrexham clean sheet | 19% | 5.33 |
| Home leads at half-time | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Level at half-time | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 39% | 2.60 | |
| Both score 1st half | 23% | 4.32 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 79% | 1.26 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 46% | 2.15 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 29% | 3.47 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 86% | 1.17 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 46% | 2.17 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 6% | 4% | |||
| 1 | 9% | 12% | 7% | |||
| 2 | 8% | 9% | 6% | |||
| 3 | 4% | 5% | 3% | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 24 | LWWDW |
| 3 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | WWWLL |
| 4 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | DDWWL |
| 5 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | LLWDW |
| 6 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | LLWWD |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | DWWWL |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 20 | WWLWD |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 12 | Sheffield United | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 | LLLDW |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | WLWDL |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 | LLLLW |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LLLWL |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 | DLLLD |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Sheffield United | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%4/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Both teams score | 70%7/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Win | 40%4/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Draw | 20%2/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Loss | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Clean sheet | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Failed to score | 10%1/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 80%8/10 | 80%8/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 40%4/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.60 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.50 | 1.60 |
| Corners for / against | 3.8 / 6.8 | 4.7 / 3.9 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield United | #8 | 1.38 | 1.26 |
| Wrexham | #11 | 1.43 | 1.43 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
5.5 goals per meeting