Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Charlton host Sheffield United on Sat 7 Nov at 15:00. Charlton are 19th in the table and Sheffield United are 12th.
The model gives Charlton a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sheffield United 41%. It expects 1.1 goals from Charlton and 1.3 from Sheffield United, with a 41% chance of three or more goals and 47% that both teams score.
Charlton won 0, drew 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches; Sheffield United won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Charlton's last 10 matches and 7 of Sheffield United's last 10; both teams scored in 5 and 7 respectively.
At home this season Charlton have 2 wins from 6, scoring 0.8 a game; away from home Sheffield United have 2 wins from 6, conceding 1.3 a game.
In their last 2 league meetings, Charlton won 2, Sheffield United won 0 and 0 games ended level, averaging 1.0 goals. The most recent, on Sat 17 Jan, finished Charlton 1-0 Sheffield United.
Notable run: Charlton, without a win in the last 9 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Under 3.5 goals, 80%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Charlton win | 30% | 3.31 | |
| Draw | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Sheffield United win | 41% | 2.46 |
| Home or draw | 59% | 1.69 | |
| No draw | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Away or draw | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 57% | 1.74 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.12 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% | 4.91 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 11.68 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 |
| Both teams score | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Not both teams score | 53% | 1.89 |
| Charlton to score | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Sheffield United to score | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Charlton clean sheet | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Sheffield United clean sheet | 35% | 2.86 |
| Home leads at half-time | 24% | 4.11 | |
| Level at half-time | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 66% | 1.53 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Both score 1st half | 17% | 5.91 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 21% | 4.66 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 84% | 1.20 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 50% | 2.02 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 12% | 8% | 3% | ||
| 1 | 10% | 14% | 8% | 3% | ||
| 2 | 5% | 7% | 4% | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | DWWDW |
| 2 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 24:12 | +12 | 24 | LWWDW |
| 3 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 23 | WWWLL |
| 4 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 32:15 | +17 | 22 | DDWWL |
| 5 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:16 | +4 | 21 | LLWDW |
| 6 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 21 | LLWWD |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | DWWWL |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Stoke | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 20 | WWLWD |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | DWWLW |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | LWWDW |
| 12 | Sheffield United | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | LWLWD |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 15 | WDLLD |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 15 | LLLDW |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 14 | WLWDW |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 14 | WDLWL |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | WLWDL |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LDDLL |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 | LLLLW |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LLLWL |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 17:25 | -8 | 8 | DWDLL |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DDLLD |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10:25 | -15 | 5 | DLLLD |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Charlton | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%4/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0%0/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Both teams score | 50%5/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Win | 10%1/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Draw | 50%5/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Loss | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Clean sheet | 30%3/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Failed to score | 40%4/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 50%5/10 | 80%8/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.70 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Corners for / against | 4.4 / 6.3 | 3.8 / 6.8 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton | #22 | 0.99 | 1.33 |
| Sheffield United | #8 | 1.38 | 1.26 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
1.0 goals per meeting