Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Le Havre host Paris SG on Fri 30 Oct at 19:00. Le Havre are 18th in the table and Paris SG are 1st.
The model gives Le Havre a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Paris SG 66%. It expects 0.9 goals from Le Havre and 2.1 from Paris SG, with a 58% chance of three or more goals and 51% that both teams score.
Le Havre won 0, drew 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches; Paris SG won 5, drew 0 and lost 0 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Le Havre's last 10 matches and 7 of Paris SG's last 10; both teams scored in 5 and 7 respectively.
At home this season Le Havre have 0 wins from 4, scoring 0.5 a game; away from home Paris SG have 3 wins from 5, conceding 1.2 a game.
In their last 4 league meetings, Le Havre won 0, Paris SG won 4 and 0 games ended level, averaging 3.0 goals. The most recent, on Sat 28 Feb, finished Le Havre 0-1 Paris SG.
Notable run: Le Havre, without a win in the last 8 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 80%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Le Havre win | 14% | 7.41 | |
| Draw | 20% | 4.89 | |
| Paris SG win | 66% | 1.51 |
| Home or draw | 34% | 2.95 | |
| No draw | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Away or draw | 87% | 1.16 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 17% | 5.89 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 83% | 1.20 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.24 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18% | 5.45 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 5.12 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.35 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.54 |
| Both teams score | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Not both teams score | 49% | 2.06 |
| Le Havre to score | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 21% | 4.69 | |
| Paris SG to score | 88% | 1.13 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Le Havre clean sheet | 12% | 8.43 | |
| Paris SG clean sheet | 42% | 2.37 |
| Home leads at half-time | 14% | 6.91 | |
| Level at half-time | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 73% | 1.38 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Both score 1st half | 19% | 5.33 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 27% | 3.69 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 21% | 4.70 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 79% | 1.27 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 10% | 11% | 8% | 4% | |
| 1 | 4% | 10% | 10% | 7% | 4% | |
| 2 | 4% | 4% | 3% | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 | DWDLD |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 | DLWWD |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | LWWLW |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 | LLWDL |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 | DWLLD |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 | LLLLD |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 | DLLLL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Le Havre | Paris SG |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60%6/10 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%4/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20%2/10 | 0%0/10 |
| Both teams score | 50%5/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Win | 10%1/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Draw | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Loss | 70%7/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Clean sheet | 20%2/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Failed to score | 40%4/10 | 0%0/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 60%6/10 | 70%7/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 10%1/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.00 | 1.90 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.60 | 1.10 |
| Corners for / against | 4.7 / 4.3 | 5.3 / 2.6 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Le Havre | #16 | 1.12 | 1.48 |
| Paris SG | #1 | 2.20 | 0.96 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
3.0 goals per meeting