Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Lyon host Angers on Sat 31 Oct at 20:45. Lyon are 5th in the table and Angers are 14th.
The model gives Lyon a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Angers 13%. It expects 1.9 goals from Lyon and 0.8 from Angers, with a 50% chance of three or more goals and 46% that both teams score.
Lyon won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches; Angers won 1, drew 2 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Lyon's last 10 matches and 4 of Angers's last 10; both teams scored in 5 and 6 respectively.
At home this season Lyon have 3 wins from 4, scoring 2.5 a game; away from home Angers have 1 win from 3, conceding 2.0 a game.
In their last 4 league meetings, Lyon won 3, Angers won 0 and 1 game ended level, averaging 1.5 goals. The most recent, on Sun 5 Apr, finished Angers 0-0 Lyon.
Notable run: Lyon, no draw in the last 4 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 76%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Lyon win | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Draw | 22% | 4.56 | |
| Angers win | 13% | 7.66 |
| Home or draw | 87% | 1.15 | |
| No draw | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Away or draw | 35% | 2.86 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 83% | 1.20 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 17% | 5.97 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 93% | 1.08 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.51 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.35 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.09 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Both teams score | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Not both teams score | 54% | 1.84 |
| Lyon to score | 86% | 1.17 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Angers to score | 53% | 1.90 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 17% | 5.77 | |
| Lyon clean sheet | 47% | 2.12 | |
| Angers clean sheet | 14% | 6.98 |
| Home leads at half-time | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Level at half-time | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 14% | 7.37 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Both score 1st half | 16% | 6.34 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 45% | 2.22 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 23% | 4.33 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 79% | 1.26 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 57% | 1.76 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7% | 5% | ||||
| 1 | 13% | 10% | 4% | |||
| 2 | 13% | 10% | 4% | |||
| 3 | 8% | 6% | ||||
| 4 | 4% | 3% | ||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 | DWDLD |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 | DLWWD |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | LWWLW |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 | LLWDL |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 | DWLLD |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 | LLLLD |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 | DLLLL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Lyon | Angers |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%6/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0%0/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Both teams score | 50%5/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Win | 40%4/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Draw | 20%2/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Loss | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Clean sheet | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Failed to score | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 60%6/10 | 70%7/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 40%4/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.40 | 1.10 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.30 | 1.70 |
| Corners for / against | 6.2 / 6.6 | 5.4 / 5.5 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | #4 | 1.68 | 1.14 |
| Angers | #17 | 1.01 | 1.44 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
1.5 goals per meeting