Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Paris FC host Monaco on Sun 1 Nov at 17:15. Paris FC are 6th in the table and Monaco are 4th.
The model gives Paris FC a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Monaco 35%. It expects 1.5 goals from Paris FC and 1.4 from Monaco, with a 56% chance of three or more goals and 60% that both teams score.
Paris FC won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches; Monaco won 1, drew 3 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Paris FC's last 10 matches and 4 of Monaco's last 10; both teams scored in 6 and 6 respectively.
At home this season Paris FC have 3 wins from 4, scoring 2.3 a game; away from home Monaco have 2 wins from 4, conceding 0.8 a game.
In their last 2 league meetings, Paris FC won 2, Monaco won 0 and 0 games ended level, averaging 3.0 goals. The most recent, on Fri 10 Apr, finished Paris FC 4-1 Monaco.
Notable run: Monaco, conceded in the last 6 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 80%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Paris FC win | 39% | 2.55 | |
| Draw | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Monaco win | 35% | 2.86 |
| Home or draw | 65% | 1.54 | |
| No draw | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Away or draw | 61% | 1.65 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 47% | 2.12 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.77 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.92 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Both teams score | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Not both teams score | 40% | 2.48 |
| Paris FC to score | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 45% | 2.24 | |
| Monaco to score | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 41% | 2.41 | |
| Paris FC clean sheet | 24% | 4.13 | |
| Monaco clean sheet | 22% | 4.55 |
| Home leads at half-time | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Level at half-time | 41% | 2.46 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 28% | 3.52 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Both score 1st half | 22% | 4.53 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 32% | 3.14 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 26% | 3.85 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 74% | 1.35 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 7% | 5% | |||
| 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 4% | ||
| 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | |||
| 3 | 3% | 4% | 3% | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 | DWDLD |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 | DLWWD |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | LWWLW |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 | LLWDL |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 | DWLLD |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 | LLLLD |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 | DLLLL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Paris FC | Monaco |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20%2/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Both teams score | 60%6/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Win | 50%5/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Draw | 20%2/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Loss | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Clean sheet | 30%3/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Failed to score | 30%3/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 50%5/10 | 70%7/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.60 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.20 | 1.30 |
| Corners for / against | 3.3 / 4.2 | 4.3 / 4.4 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris FC | #9 | 1.49 | 1.25 |
| Monaco | #6 | 1.73 | 1.26 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
3.0 goals per meeting