Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Strasbourg host Auxerre on Sun 1 Nov at 15:00. Strasbourg are 16th in the table and Auxerre are 12th.
The model gives Strasbourg a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Auxerre 23%. It expects 1.9 goals from Strasbourg and 1.2 from Auxerre, with a 59% chance of three or more goals and 59% that both teams score.
Strasbourg won 0, drew 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches; Auxerre won 3, drew 1 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 9 of Strasbourg's last 10 matches and 7 of Auxerre's last 10; both teams scored in 8 and 8 respectively.
At home this season Strasbourg have 1 win from 3, scoring 1.3 a game; away from home Auxerre have 1 win from 4, conceding 3.3 a game.
In their last 4 league meetings, Strasbourg won 3, Auxerre won 0 and 1 game ended level, averaging 2.0 goals. The most recent, on Sat 7 Mar, finished Auxerre 0-0 Strasbourg.
Notable run: Strasbourg, over 1.5 goals in the last 8 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 82%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Strasbourg win | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Draw | 24% | 4.24 | |
| Auxerre win | 23% | 4.34 |
| Home or draw | 77% | 1.30 | |
| No draw | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Away or draw | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 30% | 3.32 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.06 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | 1.23 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | 2.73 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20% | 5.13 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18% | 5.42 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 41% | 2.44 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 63% | 1.58 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Not both teams score | 41% | 2.45 |
| Strasbourg to score | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Auxerre to score | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Strasbourg clean sheet | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Auxerre clean sheet | 15% | 6.59 |
| Home leads at half-time | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Level at half-time | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 21% | 4.71 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Both score 1st half | 22% | 4.49 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 82% | 1.21 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 32% | 3.13 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 48% | 2.06 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 64% | 1.56 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 5% | 3% | |||
| 1 | 8% | 11% | 6% | |||
| 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | |||
| 3 | 5% | 6% | 4% | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris SG | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:9 | +7 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Rennes | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 | WLWLW |
| 3 | Lille | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:6 | +5 | 15 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Monaco | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 15 | DWDLD |
| 5 | Lyon | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 6 | Paris FC | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 14 | DWLWL |
| 7 | Lens | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | DLWWW |
| 8 | Marseille | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18:13 | +5 | 12 | LLWWW |
| 9 | Lorient | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 12 | DLWWD |
| 10 | Nice | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | LWWLW |
| 11 | Toulouse | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:11 | +1 | 10 | DWDWD |
| 12 | Auxerre | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 12:18 | -6 | 10 | WWLWD |
| 13 | Brest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | +2 | 9 | LLWDL |
| 14 | Angers | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | -6 | 8 | DWLLD |
| 15 | Le Mans | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 7 | DWLLD |
| 16 | Strasbourg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 | DLLLL |
| 17 | Troyes | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5:16 | -11 | 5 | LLLLD |
| 18 | Le Havre | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8:15 | -7 | 2 | DLLLL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Strasbourg | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40%4/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Both teams score | 80%8/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Win | 40%4/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Draw | 10%1/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Loss | 50%5/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Clean sheet | 0%0/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Failed to score | 20%2/10 | 0%0/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 80%8/10 | 80%8/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 50%5/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.90 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded / game | 2.30 | 1.90 |
| Corners for / against | 2.7 / 5.1 | 5.8 / 5.9 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg | #8 | 1.68 | 1.40 |
| Auxerre | #14 | 1.28 | 1.40 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
2.0 goals per meeting