Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Cambuur host Go Ahead Eagles on Sat 31 Oct at 21:00. Cambuur are 10th in the table and Go Ahead Eagles are 9th.
The model gives Cambuur a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Go Ahead Eagles 38%. It expects 2.1 goals from Cambuur and 2.0 from Go Ahead Eagles, with a 78% chance of three or more goals and 77% that both teams score.
Cambuur won 3, drew 2 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches; Go Ahead Eagles won 1, drew 3 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Cambuur's last 10 matches and 8 of Go Ahead Eagles's last 10; both teams scored in 7 and 10 respectively.
At home this season Cambuur have 1 win from 5, scoring 1.6 a game; away from home Go Ahead Eagles have 0 wins from 5, conceding 3.0 a game.
Notable run: Go Ahead Eagles, over 1.5 goals in the last 10 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 2.5 goals, 78%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Cambuur win | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Draw | 22% | 4.60 | |
| Go Ahead Eagles win | 38% | 2.65 |
| Home or draw | 62% | 1.61 | |
| No draw | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Away or draw | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 48% | 2.07 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 98% | 1.02 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 92% | 1.08 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 39% | 2.56 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8% | 12.87 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 22% | 4.47 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 41% | 2.42 |
| Both teams score | 77% | 1.31 | |
| Not both teams score | 23% | 4.27 |
| Cambuur to score | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 62% | 1.62 | |
| Go Ahead Eagles to score | 87% | 1.15 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Cambuur clean sheet | 13% | 7.51 | |
| Go Ahead Eagles clean sheet | 12% | 8.06 |
| Home leads at half-time | 35% | 2.89 | |
| Level at half-time | 33% | 3.07 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Both score 1st half | 36% | 2.78 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 90% | 1.12 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 82% | 1.23 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 59% | 1.68 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 53% | 1.89 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | |||||
| 1 | 8% | 7% | 5% | |||
| 2 | 4% | 7% | 7% | 5% | ||
| 3 | 5% | 5% | 3% | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32:11 | +21 | 24 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 21 | WDDWW |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 20 | WLWLD |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | +9 | 20 | WWDLW |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | DWLDL |
| 6 | For Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | +5 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | +3 | 15 | DWWLD |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 0 | 14 | DDDLW |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 | LDDDD |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 | LDLLL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 9 | LLDWL |
| 15 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLDLL |
| 17 | Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 6 | LDDWL |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10:32 | -22 | 2 | LLLLL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Cambuur | Go Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Both teams score | 70%7/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Win | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Draw | 30%3/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Loss | 40%4/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Clean sheet | 20%2/10 | 0%0/10 |
| Failed to score | 10%1/10 | 0%0/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 80%8/10 | 100%10/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 60%6/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.90 | 2.30 |
| Goals conceded / game | 2.20 | 2.30 |
| Corners for / against | 3.8 / 6.5 | 6.1 / 4.4 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cambuur | #11 | 1.82 | 1.91 |
| Go Ahead Eagles | #10 | 1.78 | 1.64 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
These teams have not met in the league in the last three seasons.