Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Feyenoord host For Sittard on Sat 31 Oct at 16:30. Feyenoord are 1st in the table and For Sittard are 6th.
The model gives Feyenoord a 70% chance of winning, the draw 18% and For Sittard 12%. It expects 2.5 goals from Feyenoord and 1.0 from For Sittard, with a 69% chance of three or more goals and 59% that both teams score.
Feyenoord won 4, drew 1 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches; For Sittard won 2, drew 2 and lost 1 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Feyenoord's last 10 matches and 6 of For Sittard's last 10; both teams scored in 6 and 7 respectively.
At home this season Feyenoord have 2 wins from 4, scoring 2.8 a game; away from home For Sittard have 3 wins from 5, conceding 1.6 a game.
In their last 4 league meetings, Feyenoord won 3, For Sittard won 0 and 1 game ended level, averaging 2.3 goals. The most recent, on Sun 3 May, finished For Sittard 1-2 Feyenoord.
Notable run: Feyenoord, unbeaten in the last 10 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Home win, 70%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Feyenoord win | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Draw | 18% | 5.60 | |
| For Sittard win | 12% | 8.30 |
| Home or draw | 88% | 1.14 | |
| No draw | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Away or draw | 30% | 3.34 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 85% | 1.17 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 15% | 6.82 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 12% | 8.06 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 31% | 3.20 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 53% | 1.90 |
| Both teams score | 59% | 1.70 | |
| Not both teams score | 41% | 2.44 |
| Feyenoord to score | 92% | 1.09 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 72% | 1.39 | |
| For Sittard to score | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 26% | 3.78 | |
| Feyenoord clean sheet | 37% | 2.72 | |
| For Sittard clean sheet | 8% | 12.76 |
| Home leads at half-time | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Level at half-time | 32% | 3.09 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 15% | 6.89 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 79% | 1.26 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Both score 1st half | 24% | 4.09 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 86% | 1.16 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 32% | 3.11 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 87% | 1.15 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 32% | 3.11 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 44% | 2.28 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | |||||
| 1 | 7% | 8% | 4% | |||
| 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | |||
| 3 | 8% | 8% | 4% | |||
| 4 | 5% | 5% | ||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32:11 | +21 | 24 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 21 | WDDWW |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 20 | WLWLD |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | +9 | 20 | WWDLW |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | DWLDL |
| 6 | For Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | +5 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | +3 | 15 | DWWLD |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 0 | 14 | DDDLW |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 | LDDDD |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 | LDLLL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 9 | LLDWL |
| 15 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLDLL |
| 17 | Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 6 | LDDWL |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10:32 | -22 | 2 | LLLLL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Feyenoord | For Sittard |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 40%4/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Both teams score | 60%6/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Win | 70%7/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Draw | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Loss | 0%0/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Clean sheet | 40%4/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Failed to score | 0%0/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 90%9/10 | 70%7/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 50%5/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 3.20 | 1.70 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.10 | 1.70 |
| Corners for / against | 6.3 / 4.4 | 2.7 / 8 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | #2 | 2.29 | 1.17 |
| For Sittard | #14 | 1.44 | 1.59 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
2.3 goals per meeting