Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Zwolle host Den Haag on Sun 1 Nov at 12:15. Zwolle are 15th in the table and Den Haag are 17th.
The model gives Zwolle a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Den Haag 34%. It expects 1.7 goals from Zwolle and 1.5 from Den Haag, with a 62% chance of three or more goals and 65% that both teams score.
Zwolle won 1, drew 1 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches; Den Haag won 1, drew 2 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Zwolle's last 10 matches and 7 of Den Haag's last 10; both teams scored in 5 and 8 respectively.
At home this season Zwolle have 1 win from 5, scoring 1.0 a game; away from home Den Haag have 0 wins from 5, conceding 2.2 a game.
Notable run: Den Haag, over 1.5 goals in the last 10 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 84%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Zwolle win | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 | |
| Den Haag win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Home or draw | 66% | 1.53 | |
| No draw | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Away or draw | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 46% | 2.17 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.19 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 22% | 4.50 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.29 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams score | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Not both teams score | 35% | 2.85 |
| Zwolle to score | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Den Haag to score | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 46% | 2.19 | |
| Zwolle clean sheet | 21% | 4.67 | |
| Den Haag clean sheet | 19% | 5.34 |
| Home leads at half-time | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Level at half-time | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Both score 1st half | 26% | 3.82 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 83% | 1.20 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 35% | 2.88 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 86% | 1.16 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 67% | 1.50 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 33% | 3.01 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 45% | 2.22 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 5% | 5% | |||
| 1 | 6% | 11% | 8% | 4% | ||
| 2 | 6% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||
| 3 | 3% | 5% | 4% | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32:11 | +21 | 24 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 21 | WDDWW |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 20 | WLWLD |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | +9 | 20 | WWDLW |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | DWLDL |
| 6 | For Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | +5 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | +3 | 15 | DWWLD |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 0 | 14 | DDDLW |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 | LDDDD |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 | LDLLL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 9 | LLDWL |
| 15 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLDLL |
| 17 | Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 6 | LDDWL |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10:32 | -22 | 2 | LLLLL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Zwolle | Den Haag |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%6/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%5/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20%2/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Both teams score | 50%5/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Win | 20%2/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Draw | 20%2/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Loss | 60%6/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Clean sheet | 10%1/10 | 0%0/10 |
| Failed to score | 40%4/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 60%6/10 | 80%8/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 50%5/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded / game | 2.30 | 2.30 |
| Corners for / against | 4.1 / 7.2 | 3.9 / 5.4 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zwolle | #17 | 1.33 | 1.78 |
| Den Haag | #16 | 1.46 | 1.80 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
These teams have not met in the league in the last three seasons.