Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
For Sittard host Telstar on Sat 7 Nov at 16:30. For Sittard are 6th in the table and Telstar are 16th.
The model gives For Sittard a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Telstar 32%. It expects 1.6 goals from For Sittard and 1.4 from Telstar, with a 58% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
For Sittard won 2, drew 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches; Telstar won 0, drew 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of For Sittard's last 10 matches and 7 of Telstar's last 10; both teams scored in 7 and 6 respectively.
At home this season For Sittard have 2 wins from 5, scoring 1.2 a game; away from home Telstar have 1 win from 5, conceding 1.2 a game.
In their last 2 league meetings, For Sittard won 1, Telstar won 1 and 0 games ended level, averaging 4.5 goals. The most recent, on Sun 8 Mar, finished For Sittard 1-4 Telstar.
Notable run: Telstar, without a win in the last 9 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 81%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| For Sittard win | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Draw | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Telstar win | 32% | 3.12 |
| Home or draw | 68% | 1.47 | |
| No draw | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Away or draw | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 57% | 1.77 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 43% | 2.30 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19% | 5.39 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.33 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.55 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Not both teams score | 39% | 2.58 |
| For Sittard to score | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Telstar to score | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 41% | 2.47 | |
| For Sittard clean sheet | 25% | 4.02 | |
| Telstar clean sheet | 20% | 5.02 |
| Home leads at half-time | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Level at half-time | 39% | 2.55 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 27% | 3.65 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 74% | 1.35 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 39% | 2.58 | |
| Both score 1st half | 24% | 4.21 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 32% | 3.15 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 89% | 1.13 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 81% | 1.24 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 40% | 2.49 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 6% | 5% | |||
| 1 | 7% | 12% | 8% | 4% | ||
| 2 | 6% | 9% | 6% | |||
| 3 | 3% | 5% | 3% | |||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Feyenoord | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 32:11 | +21 | 24 | WWWWD |
| 2 | Ajax | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 29:13 | +16 | 21 | WDDWW |
| 3 | PSV Eindhoven | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 28:13 | +15 | 20 | WLWLD |
| 4 | Twente | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | +9 | 20 | WWDLW |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20:12 | +8 | 20 | DWLDL |
| 6 | For Sittard | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 18 | LWDDW |
| 7 | Heerenveen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | +5 | 15 | DWLWW |
| 8 | Groningen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 24:21 | +3 | 15 | DWWLD |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 23:23 | 0 | 14 | DDDLW |
| 10 | Cambuur | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19:22 | -3 | 12 | WDWDW |
| 11 | Utrecht | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 17:27 | -10 | 12 | WLWWD |
| 12 | Nijmegen | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 17:18 | -1 | 11 | LDDDD |
| 13 | Excelsior | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 11 | LDLLL |
| 14 | Sparta Rotterdam | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 17:24 | -7 | 9 | LLDWL |
| 15 | Zwolle | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Telstar | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 6 | DLDLL |
| 17 | Den Haag | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13:23 | -10 | 6 | LDDWL |
| 18 | Willem II | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10:32 | -22 | 2 | LLLLL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | For Sittard | Telstar |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60%6/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60%6/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Both teams score | 70%7/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Win | 50%5/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Draw | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Loss | 20%2/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Clean sheet | 20%2/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Failed to score | 10%1/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 70%7/10 | 70%7/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 50%5/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.70 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| Corners for / against | 2.7 / 8 | 4.5 / 5.8 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| For Sittard | #14 | 1.44 | 1.59 |
| Telstar | #13 | 1.48 | 1.60 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
4.5 goals per meeting