Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Academico Viseu host Rio Ave on Sun 1 Nov at 18:00. Academico Viseu are 6th in the table and Rio Ave are 17th.
The model gives Academico Viseu a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Rio Ave 16%. It expects 2.0 goals from Academico Viseu and 0.9 from Rio Ave, with a 55% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
Academico Viseu won 5, drew 0 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches; Rio Ave won 1, drew 1 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 6 of Academico Viseu's last 9 matches and 5 of Rio Ave's last 10; both teams scored in 5 and 3 respectively.
At home this season Academico Viseu have 2 wins from 4, scoring 1.0 a game; away from home Rio Ave have 1 win from 4, conceding 1.5 a game.
Notable run: Academico Viseu, no draw in the last 6 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Home or draw, 84%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Academico Viseu win | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Draw | 20% | 5.11 | |
| Rio Ave win | 16% | 6.18 |
| Home or draw | 84% | 1.19 | |
| No draw | 80% | 1.24 | |
| Away or draw | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 20% | 4.97 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.29 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 6.02 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 22% | 4.50 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Not both teams score | 50% | 2.00 |
| Academico Viseu to score | 87% | 1.16 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 60% | 1.68 | |
| Rio Ave to score | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 22% | 4.55 | |
| Academico Viseu clean sheet | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Rio Ave clean sheet | 13% | 7.45 |
| Home leads at half-time | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Level at half-time | 38% | 2.63 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 16% | 6.43 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 73% | 1.38 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 37% | 2.70 | |
| Both score 1st half | 19% | 5.18 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 26% | 3.88 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 28% | 3.55 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 72% | 1.39 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 5% | ||||
| 1 | 12% | 9% | 4% | |||
| 2 | 11% | 10% | 4% | |||
| 3 | 8% | 7% | ||||
| 4 | 4% | 3% | ||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | +17 | 27 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26:8 | +18 | 22 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Sp Lisbon | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 18 | WDDWL |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | +7 | 18 | WWDWL |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12:7 | +5 | 17 | DLDWW |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:11 | +2 | 17 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:7 | +1 | 14 | LDWWL |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LWWWL |
| 9 | Sp Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 11 | WDLLL |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 11 | LWDLW |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:11 | +3 | 10 | DDWLW |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | WDLLL |
| 13 | Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 | DLDLW |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10:18 | -8 | 7 | LLLLW |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5:17 | -12 | 7 | DLWLW |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 | LDLWL |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 | DLLLL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Academico Viseu | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%9/9 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78%7/9 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67%6/9 | 50%5/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22%2/9 | 50%5/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0%0/9 | 20%2/10 |
| Both teams score | 56%5/9 | 30%3/10 |
| Win | 56%5/9 | 20%2/10 |
| Draw | 22%2/9 | 20%2/10 |
| Loss | 22%2/9 | 60%6/10 |
| Clean sheet | 22%2/9 | 10%1/10 |
| Failed to score | 22%2/9 | 60%6/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 89%8/9 | 80%8/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 33%3/9 | 30%3/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.44 | 0.90 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.22 | 2.20 |
| Corners for / against | 2.33 / 5.78 | 3.4 / 6 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Academico Viseu | #5 | 1.43 | 1.09 |
| Rio Ave | #18 | 1.08 | 1.62 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
These teams have not met in the league in the last three seasons.