Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Betis host Malaga on Sun 1 Nov. Betis are 4th in the table and Malaga are 20th.
The model gives Betis a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Malaga 12%. It expects 2.2 goals from Betis and 0.8 from Malaga, with a 58% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
Betis won 2, drew 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 league matches; Malaga won 0, drew 2 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 4 of Betis's last 10 matches and 3 of Malaga's last 10; both teams scored in 5 and 6 respectively.
At home this season Betis have 4 wins from 5, scoring 2.0 a game; away from home Malaga have 0 wins from 5, conceding 1.8 a game.
Notable run: Malaga, without a win in the last 10 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 81%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Betis win | 69% | 1.44 | |
| Draw | 19% | 5.30 | |
| Malaga win | 12% | 8.57 |
| Home or draw | 88% | 1.13 | |
| No draw | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Away or draw | 31% | 3.27 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 86% | 1.17 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 14% | 6.95 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 95% | 1.05 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 1.24 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 19% | 5.27 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19% | 5.23 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64% | 1.56 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Not both teams score | 50% | 1.98 |
| Betis to score | 89% | 1.12 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Malaga to score | 55% | 1.81 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 19% | 5.21 | |
| Betis clean sheet | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Malaga clean sheet | 11% | 9.29 |
| Home leads at half-time | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Level at half-time | 37% | 2.72 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 13% | 7.67 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Both score 1st half | 18% | 5.50 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 51% | 1.95 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 26% | 3.82 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 75% | 1.34 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 63% | 1.60 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 37% | 2.69 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 63% | 1.59 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5% | 4% | ||||
| 1 | 10% | 9% | 3% | |||
| 2 | 12% | 10% | 4% | |||
| 3 | 9% | 7% | ||||
| 4 | 5% | 4% | ||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Ath Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 5 | Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | DDDLW |
| 9 | Celta | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WWLDW |
| 11 | La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 13 | Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 16 | Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | LWDDL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Espanol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 | LLDLD |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Betis | Malaga |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 50%5/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%4/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Both teams score | 50%5/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Win | 60%6/10 | 0%0/10 |
| Draw | 20%2/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Loss | 20%2/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Clean sheet | 50%5/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Failed to score | 10%1/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 60%6/10 | 70%7/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.40 | 1.90 |
| Corners for / against | 4.7 / 6.1 | 5.2 / 5.1 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betis | #5 | 1.59 | 1.21 |
| Malaga | #20 | 1.00 | 1.58 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
These teams have not met in the league in the last three seasons.