Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
La Coruna host Osasuna on Sun 1 Nov. La Coruna are 11th in the table and Osasuna are 12th.
The model gives La Coruna a 50% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Osasuna 24%. It expects 1.6 goals from La Coruna and 1.0 from Osasuna, with a 47% chance of three or more goals and 50% that both teams score.
La Coruna won 0, drew 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches; Osasuna won 1, drew 1 and lost 3 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of La Coruna's last 10 matches and 4 of Osasuna's last 10; both teams scored in 8 and 4 respectively.
At home this season La Coruna have 1 win from 5, scoring 1.2 a game; away from home Osasuna have 1 win from 5, conceding 3.4 a game.
Notable run: La Coruna, conceded in the last 10 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Home or draw, 76%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| La Coruna win | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Draw | 26% | 3.79 | |
| Osasuna win | 24% | 4.20 |
| Home or draw | 76% | 1.31 | |
| No draw | 74% | 1.36 | |
| Away or draw | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 68% | 1.48 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 32% | 3.09 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 2.13 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 3.93 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 12% | 8.60 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 27% | 3.69 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% | 1.34 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 1.99 | |
| Not both teams score | 50% | 2.01 |
| La Coruna to score | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Osasuna to score | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 26% | 3.79 | |
| La Coruna clean sheet | 37% | 2.71 | |
| Osasuna clean sheet | 21% | 4.74 |
| Home leads at half-time | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Level at half-time | 43% | 2.30 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 20% | 4.89 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 30% | 3.29 | |
| Both score 1st half | 17% | 5.80 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 25% | 3.95 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 55% | 1.82 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 67% | 1.49 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 7% | 4% | |||
| 1 | 12% | 13% | 6% | |||
| 2 | 9% | 9% | 5% | |||
| 3 | 5% | 5% | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Ath Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 5 | Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | DDDLW |
| 9 | Celta | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WWLDW |
| 11 | La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 13 | Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 16 | Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | LWDDL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Espanol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 | LLDLD |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | La Coruna | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Both teams score | 80%8/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Win | 20%2/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Draw | 50%5/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Loss | 30%3/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Clean sheet | 0%0/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Failed to score | 20%2/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 60%6/10 | 90%9/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 40%4/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.30 | 2.00 |
| Corners for / against | 5.1 / 5.2 | 3.6 / 5.1 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Coruna | #9 | 1.28 | 1.26 |
| Osasuna | #16 | 1.20 | 1.37 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
These teams have not met in the league in the last three seasons.