Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Levante host Ath Madrid on Sun 1 Nov. Levante are 14th in the table and Ath Madrid are 2nd.
The model gives Levante a 27% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Ath Madrid 48%. It expects 1.2 goals from Levante and 1.7 from Ath Madrid, with a 56% chance of three or more goals and 58% that both teams score.
Levante won 1, drew 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches; Ath Madrid won 5, drew 0 and lost 0 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Levante's last 10 matches and 7 of Ath Madrid's last 10; both teams scored in 7 and 4 respectively.
At home this season Levante have 2 wins from 4, scoring 3.3 a game; away from home Ath Madrid have 4 wins from 5, conceding 1.0 a game.
In their last 2 league meetings, Levante won 0, Ath Madrid won 1 and 1 game ended level, averaging 2.0 goals. The most recent, on Sat 31 Jan, finished Levante 0-0 Ath Madrid.
Notable run: Ath Madrid, no draw in the last 8 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 80%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Levante win | 27% | 3.64 | |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 | |
| Ath Madrid win | 48% | 2.10 |
| Home or draw | 52% | 1.91 | |
| No draw | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Away or draw | 73% | 1.38 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 37% | 2.74 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 63% | 1.58 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 94% | 1.06 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 17% | 5.76 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20% | 4.88 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44% | 2.28 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% | 1.51 |
| Both teams score | 58% | 1.71 | |
| Not both teams score | 42% | 2.41 |
| Levante to score | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Ath Madrid to score | 82% | 1.22 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 51% | 1.98 | |
| Levante clean sheet | 18% | 5.45 | |
| Ath Madrid clean sheet | 29% | 3.45 |
| Home leads at half-time | 24% | 4.22 | |
| Level at half-time | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Both score 1st half | 22% | 4.63 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 31% | 3.21 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 81% | 1.23 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 47% | 2.14 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 53% | 1.88 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6% | 9% | 8% | 4% | ||
| 1 | 6% | 12% | 9% | 5% | ||
| 2 | 4% | 7% | 6% | 3% | ||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 40:11 | +29 | 27 | WWWWL |
| 2 | Ath Madrid | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 25 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Real Madrid | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 25:10 | +15 | 24 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Betis | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | +2 | 20 | WDWLD |
| 5 | Sociedad | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19:18 | +1 | 19 | LWWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | WLDLW |
| 7 | Alaves | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:11 | +3 | 12 | LDLLD |
| 8 | Ath Bilbao | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 12 | DDDLW |
| 9 | Celta | 10 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 12 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Villarreal | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | WWLDW |
| 11 | La Coruna | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 | LDLDL |
| 12 | Osasuna | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 11 | LDLWL |
| 13 | Santander | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15:26 | -11 | 11 | LLDLW |
| 14 | Levante | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 10 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Elche | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 10 | LWDDW |
| 16 | Vallecano | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 9 | LWDDL |
| 17 | Getafe | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 9 | LWLDL |
| 18 | Espanol | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 8 | LLDLL |
| 19 | Valencia | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7:17 | -10 | 6 | WLDDL |
| 20 | Malaga | 10 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 5 | LLDLD |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Levante | Ath Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%5/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 0%0/10 |
| Both teams score | 70%7/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Win | 20%2/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Draw | 40%4/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Loss | 40%4/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Clean sheet | 20%2/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Failed to score | 30%3/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 70%7/10 | 30%3/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 60%6/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.90 | 0.80 |
| Corners for / against | 3.4 / 5.1 | 6 / 2.9 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levante | #14 | 1.41 | 1.49 |
| Ath Madrid | #3 | 1.72 | 0.99 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
2.0 goals per meeting