Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Brommapojkarna host Hacken on Wed 28 Oct at 18:00. Brommapojkarna are 10th in the table and Hacken are 4th.
The model gives Brommapojkarna a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hacken 43%. It expects 1.6 goals from Brommapojkarna and 1.8 from Hacken, with a 66% chance of three or more goals and 66% that both teams score.
Brommapojkarna won 2, drew 0 and lost 3 of their last 5 league matches; Hacken won 4, drew 1 and lost 0 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Brommapojkarna's last 10 matches and 6 of Hacken's last 10; both teams scored in 5 and 2 respectively.
At home this season Brommapojkarna have 4 wins from 12, scoring 1.3 a game; away from home Hacken have 6 wins from 12, conceding 1.0 a game.
In their last 6 league meetings, Brommapojkarna won 1, Hacken won 4 and 1 game ended level, averaging 4.0 goals. The most recent, on Mon 6 Apr, finished Hacken 2-2 Brommapojkarna.
Notable run: Brommapojkarna, over 1.5 goals in the last 13 away matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Both teams score, 66%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Brommapojkarna win | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Draw | 23% | 4.41 | |
| Hacken win | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home or draw | 57% | 1.74 | |
| No draw | 77% | 1.29 | |
| Away or draw | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 55% | 1.82 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 97% | 1.04 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 1.17 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 25% | 3.96 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 15% | 6.72 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 56% | 1.78 |
| Both teams score | 66% | 1.51 | |
| Not both teams score | 34% | 2.98 |
| Brommapojkarna to score | 80% | 1.25 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 47% | 2.11 | |
| Hacken to score | 83% | 1.20 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Brommapojkarna clean sheet | 17% | 5.96 | |
| Hacken clean sheet | 20% | 4.94 |
| Home leads at half-time | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Level at half-time | 36% | 2.75 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 78% | 1.28 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Both score 1st half | 28% | 3.53 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 84% | 1.18 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 55% | 1.80 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 37% | 2.74 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3% | 6% | 5% | 3% | ||
| 1 | 5% | 10% | 9% | 5% | ||
| 2 | 4% | 8% | 7% | 4% | ||
| 3 | 4% | 4% | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
| Market | Model | Odds | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna win | 35% | 4.03 | 2.88 | +40.1% |
| Hacken win | 43% | 1.72 | 2.35 | -26.8% |
| Draw | 23% | 3.91 | 4.41 | -11.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | – | 1.52 | – |
| Under 2.5 goals | 34% | – | 2.91 | – |
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sirius | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 56:32 | +24 | 55 | WWWDL |
| 2 | Hammarby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 52:21 | +31 | 49 | WWLWW |
| 3 | Djurgarden | 25 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 52:23 | +29 | 48 | WLWWD |
| 4 | Hacken | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 47:30 | +17 | 45 | DWWWW |
| 5 | Elfsborg | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:24 | +13 | 42 | WWWDD |
| 6 | Vasteras SK | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 36:38 | -2 | 38 | WWLWL |
| 7 | Malmo FF | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 38:34 | +4 | 37 | WLWLD |
| 8 | AIK | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:43 | -3 | 37 | DLLDW |
| 9 | Goteborg | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 35:44 | -9 | 37 | WWWDD |
| 10 | Brommapojkarna | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 39:43 | -4 | 33 | LLWLW |
| 11 | GAIS | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 31:26 | +5 | 31 | LWLLD |
| 12 | Mjallby | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 28:42 | -14 | 23 | DLDLL |
| 13 | Kalmar | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 23:41 | -18 | 22 | LLLWL |
| 14 | Degerfors | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 21:41 | -20 | 20 | LLDLL |
| 15 | Orgryte | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 31:56 | -25 | 19 | LLLWD |
| 16 | Halmstad | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 18:46 | -28 | 17 | LWLLW |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Brommapojkarna | Hacken |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90%9/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50%5/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 10%1/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Both teams score | 50%5/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Win | 50%5/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Draw | 10%1/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Loss | 40%4/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Clean sheet | 20%2/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Failed to score | 30%3/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | – | – |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | – | – |
| Goals scored / game | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.90 | 0.70 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brommapojkarna | #12 | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| Hacken | #5 | 1.69 | 1.37 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
4.0 goals per meeting