Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Schalke 04 host RB Leipzig on Sat 31 Oct at 15:30. Schalke 04 are 16th in the table and RB Leipzig are 5th.
The model gives Schalke 04 a 29% chance of winning, the draw 29% and RB Leipzig 43%. It expects 1.0 goals from Schalke 04 and 1.3 from RB Leipzig, with a 42% chance of three or more goals and 48% that both teams score.
Schalke 04 won 1, drew 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches; RB Leipzig won 3, drew 0 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Schalke 04's last 7 matches and 9 of RB Leipzig's last 10; both teams scored in 2 and 5 respectively.
At home this season Schalke 04 have 0 wins from 3, scoring 0.0 a game; away from home RB Leipzig have 0 wins from 3, conceding 3.7 a game.
Notable run: RB Leipzig, no draw in the last 18 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Under 3.5 goals, 79%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Schalke 04 win | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Draw | 29% | 3.49 | |
| RB Leipzig win | 43% | 2.35 |
| Home or draw | 57% | 1.74 | |
| No draw | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Away or draw | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 40% | 2.48 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 60% | 1.68 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 90% | 1.11 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% | 4.67 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 9% | 10.91 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 31% | 3.22 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.27 |
| Both teams score | 48% | 2.08 | |
| Not both teams score | 52% | 1.93 |
| Schalke 04 to score | 65% | 1.54 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 28% | 3.57 | |
| RB Leipzig to score | 73% | 1.36 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Schalke 04 clean sheet | 27% | 3.76 | |
| RB Leipzig clean sheet | 35% | 2.84 |
| Home leads at half-time | 23% | 4.27 | |
| Level at half-time | 45% | 2.23 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 32% | 3.15 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 65% | 1.53 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Both score 1st half | 17% | 5.96 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 37% | 2.67 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 23% | 4.42 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 69% | 1.45 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 31% | 3.25 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 69% | 1.44 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10% | 12% | 8% | 4% | ||
| 1 | 9% | 14% | 9% | 4% | ||
| 2 | 5% | 7% | 4% | |||
| 3 | ||||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 3 | Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | WDWLL |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | DWDDW |
| 7 | Mainz | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 | Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | LDLWL |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | Paderborn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 | LLLLW |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Schalke 04 | RB Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 57%4/7 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 43%3/7 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 43%3/7 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14%1/7 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0%0/7 | 50%5/10 |
| Both teams score | 29%2/7 | 50%5/10 |
| Win | 14%1/7 | 50%5/10 |
| Draw | 43%3/7 | 0%0/10 |
| Loss | 43%3/7 | 50%5/10 |
| Clean sheet | 43%3/7 | 40%4/10 |
| Failed to score | 71%5/7 | 10%1/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 57%4/7 | 90%9/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 14%1/7 | 50%5/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.57 | 2.40 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Corners for / against | 3.29 / 6.29 | 4.5 / 6 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Schalke 04 | #12 | 1.04 | 1.16 |
| RB Leipzig | #4 | 1.91 | 1.34 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
These teams have not met in the league in the last three seasons.