Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Ein Frankfurt host Hamburg on Sun 1 Nov at 17:30. Ein Frankfurt are 14th in the table and Hamburg are 11th.
The model gives Ein Frankfurt a 56% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Hamburg 22%. It expects 2.0 goals from Ein Frankfurt and 1.2 from Hamburg, with a 62% chance of three or more goals and 61% that both teams score.
Ein Frankfurt won 2, drew 1 and lost 2 of their last 5 league matches; Hamburg won 3, drew 0 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 8 of Ein Frankfurt's last 10 matches and 6 of Hamburg's last 10; both teams scored in 7 and 5 respectively.
At home this season Ein Frankfurt have 1 win from 3, scoring 1.3 a game; away from home Hamburg have 1 win from 4, conceding 2.5 a game.
In their last 2 league meetings, Ein Frankfurt won 0, Hamburg won 1 and 1 game ended level, averaging 2.5 goals. The most recent, on Sat 2 May, finished Ein Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburg.
Notable run: Hamburg, conceded in the last 11 away matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 84%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Ein Frankfurt win | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Draw | 22% | 4.49 | |
| Hamburg win | 22% | 4.57 |
| Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | |
| No draw | 78% | 1.29 | |
| Away or draw | 44% | 2.26 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 28% | 3.55 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.05 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% | 1.20 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% | 1.60 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% | 2.49 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 22% | 4.50 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 16% | 6.06 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 38% | 2.66 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 60% | 1.67 |
| Both teams score | 61% | 1.64 | |
| Not both teams score | 39% | 2.56 |
| Ein Frankfurt to score | 87% | 1.15 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 60% | 1.67 | |
| Hamburg to score | 70% | 1.43 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Ein Frankfurt clean sheet | 30% | 3.32 | |
| Hamburg clean sheet | 13% | 7.51 |
| Home leads at half-time | 43% | 2.35 | |
| Level at half-time | 37% | 2.74 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 21% | 4.78 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 42% | 2.36 | |
| Both score 1st half | 25% | 4.02 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 83% | 1.21 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 53% | 1.89 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 32% | 3.09 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 72% | 1.40 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 66% | 1.51 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 4% | ||||
| 1 | 8% | 10% | 6% | |||
| 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | |||
| 3 | 5% | 7% | 4% | |||
| 4 | 3% | |||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 3 | Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | WDWLL |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | DWDDW |
| 7 | Mainz | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 | Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | LDLWL |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | Paderborn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 | LLLLW |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Ein Frankfurt | Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 60%6/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Both teams score | 70%7/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Win | 20%2/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Draw | 30%3/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Loss | 50%5/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Clean sheet | 10%1/10 | 10%1/10 |
| Failed to score | 20%2/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 70%7/10 | 60%6/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 60%6/10 | 50%5/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.50 | 1.20 |
| Goals conceded / game | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| Corners for / against | 5 / 5.3 | 3.5 / 6.3 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ein Frankfurt | #9 | 1.71 | 1.67 |
| Hamburg | #17 | 1.20 | 1.57 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
2.5 goals per meeting