Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Stuttgart host Werder Bremen on Sat 7 Nov at 18:30. Stuttgart are 15th in the table and Werder Bremen are 6th.
The model gives Stuttgart a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Werder Bremen 19%. It expects 2.3 goals from Stuttgart and 1.2 from Werder Bremen, with a 67% chance of three or more goals and 63% that both teams score.
Stuttgart won 1, drew 0 and lost 4 of their last 5 league matches; Werder Bremen won 2, drew 3 and lost 0 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 7 of Stuttgart's last 10 matches and 7 of Werder Bremen's last 10; both teams scored in 7 and 8 respectively.
At home this season Stuttgart have 1 win from 3, scoring 2.0 a game; away from home Werder Bremen have 1 win from 4, conceding 2.3 a game.
In their last 4 league meetings, Stuttgart won 1, Werder Bremen won 1 and 2 games ended level, averaging 3.3 goals. The most recent, on Sun 26 Apr, finished Stuttgart 1-1 Werder Bremen.
Notable run: Werder Bremen, conceded in the last 14 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Home or draw, 81%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Stuttgart win | 60% | 1.66 | |
| Draw | 20% | 4.90 | |
| Werder Bremen win | 19% | 5.21 |
| Home or draw | 81% | 1.24 | |
| No draw | 80% | 1.26 | |
| Away or draw | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 76% | 1.32 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 24% | 4.15 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 96% | 1.04 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 1.16 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% | 2.20 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 27% | 3.75 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 14% | 7.32 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 33% | 3.04 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 55% | 1.83 |
| Both teams score | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Not both teams score | 37% | 2.71 |
| Stuttgart to score | 89% | 1.12 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Werder Bremen to score | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Stuttgart clean sheet | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Werder Bremen clean sheet | 11% | 9.47 |
| Home leads at half-time | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Level at half-time | 34% | 2.90 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 19% | 5.14 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Both score 1st half | 27% | 3.75 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 35% | 2.90 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 85% | 1.18 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 75% | 1.33 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 64% | 1.56 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 52% | 1.93 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 36% | 2.78 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 48% | 2.08 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4% | 3% | ||||
| 1 | 7% | 9% | 5% | |||
| 2 | 8% | 10% | 6% | |||
| 3 | 6% | 7% | 4% | |||
| 4 | 3% | 4% | ||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
No bookmaker odds published for this match yet; they usually appear a few days before kick-off. Fair odds for every market are in Predictions.
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:6 | +19 | 17 | WWDWW |
| 2 | Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 17 | WWDDW |
| 3 | Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:9 | +7 | 13 | WDWLL |
| 4 | Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 13 | DWWWL |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20:11 | +9 | 12 | WLWLW |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 | DWDDW |
| 7 | Mainz | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16:13 | +3 | 10 | LWLWL |
| 8 | Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 10 | LDLWL |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17:13 | +4 | 9 | DLDLD |
| 10 | Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 9 | WLLWW |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 | LWWWL |
| 12 | FC Koln | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DLWLD |
| 13 | Paderborn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 | LWLDW |
| 14 | Ein Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 | WDLWL |
| 15 | Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 | LLWLL |
| 16 | Schalke 04 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 | WDLLD |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:18 | -12 | 6 | LLWDD |
| 18 | M'gladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11:22 | -11 | 3 | LLLLW |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Stuttgart | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 100%10/10 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%8/10 | 90%9/10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 60%6/10 | 70%7/10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 40%4/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Both teams score | 70%7/10 | 80%8/10 |
| Win | 30%3/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Draw | 20%2/10 | 30%3/10 |
| Loss | 50%5/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Clean sheet | 10%1/10 | 0%0/10 |
| Failed to score | 20%2/10 | 20%2/10 |
| Goal in 1st half | 80%8/10 | 80%8/10 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 40%4/10 | 40%4/10 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.90 | 2.00 |
| Corners for / against | 6.4 / 5.7 | 4.3 / 5.6 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart | #5 | 1.88 | 1.42 |
| Werder Bremen | #14 | 1.42 | 1.60 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
3.3 goals per meeting