Pre-match probabilities
Live score, stats and line-ups appear here from kick-off.
Written from the model and the league record, not by a tipster
Juve Stabia host Verona on Wed 28 Oct at 19:00. Juve Stabia are 8th in the table and Verona are 12th.
The model gives Juve Stabia a 41% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Verona 30%. It expects 1.5 goals from Juve Stabia and 1.2 from Verona, with a 50% chance of three or more goals and 56% that both teams score.
Juve Stabia won 2, drew 3 and lost 0 of their last 5 league matches; Verona won 1, drew 2 and lost 2 of their last 5.
Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of Juve Stabia's last 10 matches and 6 of Verona's last 8; both teams scored in 5 and 7 respectively.
At home this season Juve Stabia have 1 win from 3, scoring 1.3 a game; away from home Verona have 0 wins from 3, conceding 2.3 a game.
Notable run: Juve Stabia, under 3.5 goals in the last 8 matches in the league.
FootballSeer's pick: Over 1.5 goals, 76%.
Every market comes from the same scoreline probabilities. Right column: fair odds.
| Juve Stabia win | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Draw | 28% | 3.54 | |
| Verona win | 30% | 3.29 |
| Home or draw | 70% | 1.44 | |
| No draw | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Away or draw | 59% | 1.71 | |
| Home draw-no-bet | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Away draw-no-bet | 42% | 2.36 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 92% | 1.09 | |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | 1.31 | |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.98 | |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% | 3.52 | |
| Over 4.5 goals | 14% | 7.36 | |
| Under 1.5 goals | 24% | 4.21 | |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 2.02 | |
| Under 3.5 goals | 72% | 1.40 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 1.80 | |
| Not both teams score | 44% | 2.25 |
| Juve Stabia to score | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Home over 1.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Verona to score | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Away over 1.5 | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Juve Stabia clean sheet | 29% | 3.41 | |
| Verona clean sheet | 23% | 4.33 |
| Home leads at half-time | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Level at half-time | 42% | 2.41 | |
| Away leads at half-time | 26% | 3.87 | |
| Over 0.5 goals 1st half | 70% | 1.42 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 1st half | 34% | 2.91 | |
| Both score 1st half | 21% | 4.84 |
| Over 0.5 goals 2nd half | 77% | 1.30 | |
| Over 1.5 goals 2nd half | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Both score 2nd half | 27% | 3.71 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 72% | 1.39 | |
| Over 8.5 corners | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Over 9.5 corners | 46% | 2.16 | |
| Over 10.5 corners | 34% | 2.95 | |
| Under 9.5 corners | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Under 10.5 corners | 66% | 1.51 |
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8% | 7% | 5% | |||
| 1 | 9% | 13% | 7% | 3% | ||
| 2 | 7% | 9% | 5% | |||
| 3 | 4% | 4% | ||||
| 4 | ||||||
| 5 |
Average bookmaker odds against the model's fair price
| Market | Model | Odds | Fair | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 41% | 2.75 | 2.42 | +13.8% |
| Verona win | 30% | 2.37 | 3.29 | -28.0% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.28 | 3.54 | -7.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.83 | 1.98 | -7.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 50% | 1.87 | 2.02 | -7.3% |
Current season, league matches only
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 22 | DWWWW |
| 2 | Mantova | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:8 | +6 | 17 | WDWLW |
| 3 | Modena | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:8 | +7 | 16 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Ascoli | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | +8 | 15 | LWDDW |
| 5 | Benevento | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:7 | +6 | 14 | WWWDW |
| 6 | Pisa | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15:10 | +5 | 14 | LDWWD |
| 7 | Sudtirol | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | +3 | 13 | DWDLD |
| 8 | Juve Stabia | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:8 | +1 | 12 | DDDWW |
| 9 | Avellino | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:9 | +3 | 11 | DLWDL |
| 10 | Padova | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 11 | Arezzo | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 | WLDWL |
| 12 | Verona | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:13 | +2 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | +1 | 9 | WDDWL |
| 14 | Vicenza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:15 | -4 | 9 | DLLDW |
| 15 | Cesena | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8:12 | -4 | 8 | DDLDL |
| 16 | Carrarese | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 | LLWWL |
| 17 | Empoli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:13 | -6 | 7 | LLLDL |
| 18 | Cremonese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | DDDLL |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 5 | LWLLD |
| 20 | Catanzaro | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:20 | -11 | 4 | WLLDL |
League matches; H/A is venue, HT the half-time score
How often each event happened for each team
| Event | Juve Stabia | Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 100%10/10 | 100%8/8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 70%7/10 | 100%8/8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30%3/10 | 75%6/8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 0%0/10 | 50%4/8 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 0%0/10 | 25%2/8 |
| Both teams score | 50%5/10 | 88%7/8 |
| Win | 30%3/10 | 25%2/8 |
| Draw | 40%4/10 | 38%3/8 |
| Loss | 30%3/10 | 38%3/8 |
| Clean sheet | 20%2/10 | 13%1/8 |
| Failed to score | 30%3/10 | 0%0/8 |
| Goal in 1st half | 70%7/10 | 63%5/8 |
| 2+ goals in 1st half | 0%0/10 | 38%3/8 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.00 | 1.88 |
| Goals conceded / game | 1.00 | 1.63 |
| Corners for / against | 4.6 / 5.1 | 6.12 / 3.25 |
Model ratings: expected goals for and against a league-average side
| Team | Rank | xGF | xGA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia | #7 | 1.15 | 1.12 |
| Verona | #6 | 1.55 | 1.44 |
Current league runs of four matches or more
Recent league meetings
These teams have not met in the league in the last three seasons.